Israel's Business Arena - Globes www.globes.co.il Communications Features Band Getting Broader By Efi Landau How well prepared is Bezeq for the expected competition in the inland communications market about to be opened up to competition? This is the million-dollar question being asked in and out of Bezeq. It is also one of the main questions to be raised in the telecommunications session next week at the Israel Business Conference in Tel Aviv. Bezeq is preparing for competition in many and diverse areas, but its first important test is the "ADSL test", or "the broadband subscription war". ADSL technology is broadband digital technology that facilitates high-speed data transmission and Internet surfing on regular copper telephony lines, up to 8 Mbps. The technologies competing with ADSL will be cable modems, which can reach a speed of 52 Mbps; satellite modems, which are capable of reaching similar speeds in DBS services; and wireless broadband technology, combined with optic fibers (LMDS). Broadband services, especially Internet broadband services, are perceived as a test stage in inland communications. Here competition begins and will develop in different directions. Bezeq, at least in theory, is in the best take-off position, six months ahead of the competition. The question is whether Bezeq can exploit its advantage (a matter of some doubt) and whether the Ministry of Communications will allow it to do so. For now, Bezeq is beginning trial marketing among several hundred friendly users in five exchanges around the country, after completing a technological test with 100 Bezeq employees. The trial involves modems of three companies that reached the final stage of the tender: Alcatel (together with Bynet Data Communications), Orckit, and ECI Telecom. Bezeq is inclined to choose at least two suppliers, and it is certainly possible that the final choice will be all three. That is worldwide practice. In the US, a telecommunications company usually chooses a supplier, and later a second one. In Europe, companies choose two suppliers in advance. The final choice is expected in January, towards the beginning of commercial service in February. Keeping the customer Bezeq's tender defined the system in such a way that the customer will stay with Bezeq rather than passing to the ISP company. The customer will choose services from Bezeq, which will perform the billing, collect payment, and settle accounts with the ISP companies and various content providers. Service will be through BezeqNet 135. The customer will enter the opening screen, choose a supplier, and surf. Some Internet companies offer only surfing, while some will offer content services. There will also be content companies, which will receive an ISP license for service purposes from the Ministry of Communications. The only one not to receive an ISP license will be Bezeq itself. Despite the company's renewing its request in the matter in the context of the Ministry of Communication's intention to grant ISP licenses to the cable companies, the Ministry of Communications is expected to reject the request. At what speeds will users surf? A user surfing the Internet currently reaches a regular modem speed of 56 Kbps, or an ISDB modem speed of either 64 Kbps or 128 Kbps. If the user is a business or a private household with means and extensive surfing requirements, he can be hooked up through Bezeq to a frame relay line at 64 Kbps, 128 Kbps, 256 Kbps, and so forth. This service allows a permanent presence on the Internet, but the cost is high. In addition, surfing speed is not guaranteed to reach the speed of the connecting line. The speed depends on the number of simultaneous users on the same line. With ADSL, Bezeq has the possibility of offering surfers speeds beginning at 0.5 Mbps (500 Kbps) in a downstream direction (downloading). A company can offer statistical speed dependent on the number of users (as with frame relay) or a guaranteed speed. Bezeq chose the guaranteed speed system, which means that it is selling a 0.5 Mbps line, guaranteeing the user this speed, no matter when he surfs. It is reasonable to assume that users will receive higher speeds when surfing, but they will not pay for the added speed. Bezeq's advantage The motif of guaranteeing bandwidth will be central to Bezeq's ADSL marketing campaign, which will be called "magic service". The cable companies will be unable to guarantee bandwidth and surfing speed using their own infrastructure. Their users' speed will consequently always depend on the number of surfers at a given point in time, and on the bandwidth that the company allocates to a given number of theoretical users. That is the great advantage of ADSL over cables, and Bezeq intends to exploit it in full. The price as currently determined by Bezeq will be in the vicinity of $15 per month for guaranteed bandwidth of 0.5 Mbps. In comparison, Internet companies currently offer unlimited surfing for $25-$35 a month. To this price must be added the cost of call units to Bezeq during surfing. The comparison is to the advantage of Bezeq's ADSL, which is much cheaper than any current Internet offer. Bezeq also offers the advantage of being online 24 hours a day, without the need of dialing to be connected, plus much higher surfing speed, which yields a tremendous saving in working time, for those using the Internet for work. In addition to normal surfing, Bezeq will offer, through external suppliers, some of which will be ISP companies, diverse content. The content, which will involve an added charge, will range from computer games to information services to video movies. A speed of 0.5 Mbps is insufficient for watching movies, so users wishing to receive this service will purchase 4 Mbps or more from Bezeq. This service will be more expensive than the basic service. Bezeq: We're authorized; Communications Ministry: No, You're Not These rates have not yet been approved by the Ministry of Communications. Bezeq is sure that the Ministry of Communications has already given final approval for adding the commercial service, while only the rates remain to be settled. The Ministry of Communications, on the other hand, is sure that the approval in Bezeq's hands is only for a trial, and that Bezeq must present a separate request for its commercial service. The matter of rates is also unclear, mostly in the area of control. If it is decided that ADSL rates will be controlled by the state, then the rates must be submitted to the Knesset Finance Committee. If the rates are not controlled, then approval by the Ministry of Communications will suffice. Bezeq the entertainer In Bezeq's teleprocessing division, headed by Yoni Sapir, who is responsible for ADSL services, optimism reigns. A content department has been set up, and packages full of content are planned for the beginning of the third quarter. Bezeq does not perceive its future as that of an Internet provider, but as a provider of content and entertainment. In this way, Bezeq's services can be distinguished from those of its competitors. This situation will give any content supplier the possibility of market entry almost without cost, as Bezeq did with its Internet services through BezeqNet 135. The investment in the Infogate content company constitutes part of this strategy. Infogate will be Bezeq's tool for arousing and directing the content market to the Internet. Waiting for DBS If it depends on Ministry of Communications director general Danny Rosenne, Bezeq will receive approval for commercial ADSL service the moment it is requested. Bezeq's greatest current problem, however, is that Minister of Communications Binyamin Ben-Eliezer has decided in principle not to grant communications licenses to the cable companies, as long as DBS is not on the air. This is expected to happen around May. There are also requests from additional potential competitors, Cellcom and Eurocom, not to allow the cable companies to commence provision of Internet services before they can do so, in order to ensure fair competition. In that case, what about Bezeq? Will Ben-Eliezer adopt Danny Rosenne's approach and allow Bezeq to launch ADSL service, without regard for the launching date of Internet services by the cable companies and other competitors? Or will he endorse a level starting line for all competitors, including Bezeq? If the minister adopts this line, he can expect a sharp confrontation with Bezeq general manager Ilan Biran. Bezeq will not easily surrender the advantage it considers that it has. Published by Israel's Business Arena on December 7, 1999